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News articleYahoo Finance· May 23, 2026

Another top Fed official resets rate-cut bets

View original at finance.yahoo.com
Another top Fed official resets rate-cut bets After months of market expectations of rate cuts this year, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher J…
Opening lines of the source · Yahoo Finance · short snapshot — read the full document at the original

What we drew from this source

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  • High oil prices driven by the Iran War could dissipate quickly depending on the length of the conflict

    60% confidence
  • The Fed's current wait-and-see stance of holding rates steady is appropriate until the true inflationary impact of the Iran War becomes clearer

    60% confidence
  • Longer-term monetary tightening may be necessary if supply-shock inflation from the Iran War does not prove transitory

    60% confidence
  • Inflation is not moving in the right direction

    60% confidence
  • Rate hikes can no longer be ruled out if inflation does not abate soon

    60% confidence
  • Waller would not hesitate to support a rate hike if inflation expectations become unanchored, but such action is currently premature

    60% confidence

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What we're seeing
Q4 2026 Biotech Catalyst Window: ESMO Data, the Ivonescimab PDUFA and Small-Cap Delistings
Mid-October to November 2026 is a dense catalyst period for clinical-stage biotech. Positive late-stage readouts (ALOFT-IPF, TELIGAN, MIUDELLA, the duvakitug extension) and the ESMO 2026 presentations lead up to the FDA's 14 November PDUFA date for the ivonescimab BLA. At the opposite end of the market, Spago Nanomedical is moving to delist from Nasdaq First North, which shows how hard it is for micro-cap developers to fund themselves. Value is concentrating in companies with late-stage data and near-term regulatory outcomes.
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EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
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Where sources disagree
Ford Motor Company
Both facts give cash for Ford Motor Company at the same point in time (2025-12-31; FY 2025 year-end and Q4 2025 year-end are the same date). Both are labelled USD, but the values are 23,356,000,000 and 23.356, which cannot both be true in USD. The two numbers agree once the second is read as billions (23.356 bn = 23,356,000,000), so the economic content is consistent and the conflict is a unit/scale error in the Q4 2025 record. The period is not the reason for the conflict: a Q4 and an FY figure at the same year-end date should match.
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