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News articleNasdaq· March 5, 2026

Stocks Finish Lower as War Rages in the Middle East

View original at nasdaq.com
Stocks Finish Lower as War Rages in the Middle East The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) on Thursday closed down -0.56%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI) (DIA) closed down -1.61%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) closed down -0.29%…
Opening lines of the source · Nasdaq · short snapshot — read the full document at the original

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  • S&P earnings growth is expected to climb by 8.4% in Q4, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth

    80% confidence
  • The government is considering emergency measures to stabilize crude prices

    80% confidence
  • Ships sailing through Strait of Hormuz could be at risk from missiles or rogue drones

    80% confidence
  • Four of six tanks at Saudi Arabia's Ras Tanura refinery were full

    80% confidence
  • Broadcom expects AI chip sales to top $100 billion next year

    80% confidence
  • Recent and expected data reflect a couple months of relatively high inflation, which certainly puts pause to any conclusion that we're done fighting this

    80% confidence
  • Most of American Eagle Outfitters' profit will be generated in the second half of the year

    80% confidence
  • A prolonged conflict in the Middle East would risk pushing inflation expectations higher

    80% confidence
  • Inflation is a bigger concern than economic growth as the ECB assesses the implications of the war in Iran

    80% confidence
  • Excluding the Magnificent Seven megacap technology stocks, Q4 earnings are expected to increase by 4.6%

    80% confidence
  • ChatGPT pivoting away from on-platform shopping checkout would be a waterloo moment for AI-disruption of e-commerce

    80% confidence
  • The Ju'aymah terminal on Saudi Arabia's east coast is quickly running out of spare capacity

    80% confidence
  • The real-time risk premium for crude oil is $18/bbl, corresponding to the impact of a six-week full halt to tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz

    80% confidence

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What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
Q4 2026 Biotech Catalyst Window: ESMO Data, the Ivonescimab PDUFA and Small-Cap Delistings
Mid-October to November 2026 is a dense catalyst period for clinical-stage biotech. Positive late-stage readouts (ALOFT-IPF, TELIGAN, MIUDELLA, the duvakitug extension) and the ESMO 2026 presentations lead up to the FDA's 14 November PDUFA date for the ivonescimab BLA. At the opposite end of the market, Spago Nanomedical is moving to delist from Nasdaq First North, which shows how hard it is for micro-cap developers to fund themselves. Value is concentrating in companies with late-stage data and near-term regulatory outcomes.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
Ford Motor Company
Both facts give cash for Ford Motor Company at the same point in time (2025-12-31; FY 2025 year-end and Q4 2025 year-end are the same date). Both are labelled USD, but the values are 23,356,000,000 and 23.356, which cannot both be true in USD. The two numbers agree once the second is read as billions (23.356 bn = 23,356,000,000), so the economic content is consistent and the conflict is a unit/scale error in the Q4 2025 record. The period is not the reason for the conflict: a Q4 and an FY figure at the same year-end date should match.
We flag conflicts openly ›
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