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Source document· October 2, 2026

Why the  jobs report weakens case for Fed rate hike

View original at finance.yahoo.com
Why the jobs report weakens case for Fed rate hike Scott Melker discusses September's jobs report, which saw non-farm payroll gains and Fiserv's (FISV) launch of Roughrider stablecoin, and a bank-to-bank settlement in North Dakota on Solana (SOL-USD)…
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  • The SEC custody proposal is a very big deal because it creates a compliant route for RIAs and regulated funds to hold crypto directly.

    60% confidence
  • The US economy added just 29,000 jobs in September versus 89,000 expected; unemployment 4.2% vs 4.1% expected.

    60% confidence
  • Self-custody by RIAs would open the long tail of crypto assets beyond ETFs and let advisors earn fees on them.

    60% confidence
  • Bitcoin had its best quarter in years while the bond market had its worst, with 10-year yields well over 5%.

    60% confidence
  • Regulators are delivering about 90% of what the Clarity Act promised, and crypto will become too big to fail.

    60% confidence
  • Stablecoin settlement on Solana could raise the price of Solana if the network grows and burns SOL as gas fees.

    60% confidence
  • PCE came in soft right after the Fed hiked, and the PCE calculation was quietly changed, worth at least a 0.2% downward revision per economists.

    60% confidence
  • Trump can do whatever he wants in crypto with no guard rails because the Clarity Act did not pass.

    60% confidence
  • Bad jobs numbers are bullish for assets because they mean the Fed cannot hike and is likely to cut.

    60% confidence
  • Stablecoins offer banks near-free, instant settlement superior to Swift and ACH, and this will spread to all banks.

    60% confidence
  • Government data is revised after markets react, so markets should not react to it initially.

    60% confidence
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
Q4 2026 Biotech Catalyst Window: ESMO Data, the Ivonescimab PDUFA and Small-Cap Delistings
Mid-October to November 2026 is a dense catalyst period for clinical-stage biotech. Positive late-stage readouts (ALOFT-IPF, TELIGAN, MIUDELLA, the duvakitug extension) and the ESMO 2026 presentations lead up to the FDA's 14 November PDUFA date for the ivonescimab BLA. At the opposite end of the market, Spago Nanomedical is moving to delist from Nasdaq First North, which shows how hard it is for micro-cap developers to fund themselves. Value is concentrating in companies with late-stage data and near-term regulatory outcomes.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
Ford Motor Company
Both facts give cash for Ford Motor Company at the same point in time (2025-12-31; FY 2025 year-end and Q4 2025 year-end are the same date). Both are labelled USD, but the values are 23,356,000,000 and 23.356, which cannot both be true in USD. The two numbers agree once the second is read as billions (23.356 bn = 23,356,000,000), so the economic content is consistent and the conflict is a unit/scale error in the Q4 2025 record. The period is not the reason for the conflict: a Q4 and an FY figure at the same year-end date should match.
We flag conflicts openly ›
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