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Source document· December 13, 2025

Bitcoin 2030 Price Prediction: Will BTC Hit $500K or $1M?

View original at finance.yahoo.com
Bitcoin 2030 Price Prediction: Will BTC Hit $500K or $1M? Travis Wolfe / Shutterstock.com Quick Read Bitcoin trades around $90K after hitting $126K in October, marking a 26.3% correction from the peak…
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  • Global ETF demand could exceed $500-$800 billion by 2030

    80% confidence
  • Hundreds of publicly traded companies now hold Bitcoin following MicroStrategy's accumulation model

    80% confidence
  • Institutions now treat Bitcoin as a modern counterpart to gold for navigating unstable monetary conditions

    80% confidence
  • Bitcoin could reach $500K to $1M by 2030 depending on institutional demand, supply compression, and adoption patterns

    80% confidence
  • Price acceleration typically peaks 12-24 months after a halving event

    80% confidence
  • Bullish case projects Bitcoin at $750K-$1M by 2030 if ETF assets approach $2 trillion and sovereign reserves expand

    80% confidence
  • Bearish case projects Bitcoin at $120K-$220K if structural demand weakens and ETF inflows flatten

    80% confidence
  • Banks now use Bitcoin as collateral in lending markets

    80% confidence
  • Base case projects Bitcoin at $350K-$500K with ETF assets moving toward $500-$800 billion range

    80% confidence
  • At $500K, Bitcoin's market cap would reach approximately $10 trillion, roughly 2% of global wealth and still below gold

    80% confidence

Data points we hold from this source

Bitcoin · daily issuance225 BTC
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
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High-profile departures at top AI labs — Brad Lightcap's exit from OpenAI and an unnamed researcher's departure from Alphabet/Google that triggered a share-price drop — are surfacing talent retention as a market risk factor even as hyperscalers pour record capital into AI infrastructure. The reaction shows investors treating key-person risk at frontier AI labs as material to valuation, a new fragility layered onto an otherwise bullish AI-driven capex cycle.
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EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
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Where sources disagree
Broadcom Inc.
Both facts report EPS for Broadcom Inc. for the same fiscal period (Q1 2026) observed on the same date (2026-02-01). However, they report conflicting values: 1.5 USD per share vs 2.05 USD per share. This is a 37% difference for the identical metric and time period, not a value change over time.
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