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Source document· July 29, 2026

KLA forecasts $4B September-quarter revenue as it lifts 2026 wafer equipment view to low $150B range

View original at seekingalpha.com
KLA forecasts $4B September-quarter revenue as it lifts 2026 wafer equipment view to low $150B range Earnings Call Insights: KLA Corporation (KLAC) Q4 2026 MANAGEMENT VIEW * CEO Richard Wallace said, “For the June quarter, KLA results were strong with revenue, profitability and earnings per share all above the midpoint…
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  • It's pretty hard to go back to customers after taking orders and start to change prices on those orders.

    60% confidence
  • Operating expenses were $682 million, consisting of $399 million in R&D and $283 million in SG&A; operating margin was 43.7%, with incremental operating margin in the quarter at 59%.

    60% confidence
  • Services has a long-term target of 13% to 15% growth, with 80% of revenue contract-based, and performance is expected toward the higher end of the range.

    60% confidence
  • KLA ended the quarter with $4.9 billion in total cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities and $5.9 billion of debt.

    60% confidence
  • Input prices have gone up and KLA has had discussions about how it will help capture some of that value.

    60% confidence
  • Revenue reached a record $3.66 billion.

    60% confidence
  • The world needs more advanced logic, and the broadening of demand has been happening as hoped.

    60% confidence
  • Cash flow from operations was $906 million and free cash flow was $817 million; KLA returned $876 million to shareholders, including $571 million in share repurchases and $305 million in dividends.

    60% confidence
  • Competitors have been able to ship into fabs in China that KLA hasn't been able to ship into.

    60% confidence
  • Since the March Investor Day, demand signals across AI infrastructure have strengthened materially, visibility continues to improve, and the wafer equipment market outlook continues to expand.

    60% confidence
  • Some products have lead times closer to 18 to 24 months, and memory pricing impact likely continues through 2027.

    60% confidence
  • Process control is a very high mix, low volume market where KLA's algorithms and 1,600-1,700 worldwide applications engineers give it an advantage; KLA performs well whenever fair competition is allowed.

    60% confidence
  • Long lead time optical components can take 12 to 24 months to put new capacity in place.

    60% confidence
  • It is confusing why KLA can't raise prices to at least offset memory prices.

    60% confidence
  • Revenue of $3.66 billion was above the midpoint of guidance of $3.575 billion.

    60% confidence
  • September-quarter gross margin is guided to 62.5%, plus or minus 1 percentage point; operating expenses to approximately $690 million; and EPS to $1.16 non-GAAP and $1.14 GAAP, each plus or minus $0.10.

    60% confidence
  • September-quarter revenue is guided to $4 billion, plus or minus $200 million.

    60% confidence
  • Semiconductor Process Control systems customer mix is expected to be approximately 73% foundry/logic and 27% memory, with memory split approximately 90% DRAM and 10% NAND.

    60% confidence
  • Effective June 11, 2026, KLA completed a 10-for-1 stock split.

    60% confidence
  • Second half of calendar 2026 growth for KLA over the first half is anticipated to be approximately 20%.

    60% confidence
  • Gross margin of 62.4% was driven by a more favorable services mix than modeled and manufacturing scale, offsetting the challenging memory pricing environment and tariff headwinds.

    60% confidence
  • Momentum is expected to accelerate through the second half of calendar 2026 and significant growth is expected to continue in calendar 2027.

    60% confidence
  • There are very few concerns about 2027 because the build-out clearly continues.

    60% confidence
  • June quarter results were strong with revenue, profitability and earnings per share all above the midpoint of guidance.

    60% confidence
  • KLA is raising its expectation for the wafer equipment market, including advanced packaging, to approximately the low $150 billion range in calendar 2026, up from the prior expectation of $140 billion plus, with significant growth planned for calendar 2027.

    60% confidence
  • Memory cost headwinds likely continue through next year but are expected to normalize.

    60% confidence
  • Non-GAAP diluted EPS was $1.05 and GAAP diluted EPS was $1.04, each at the upper end of the respective guidance ranges.

    60% confidence
  • KLA does not talk about specific customer engagements, declining to discuss SpaceX.

    60% confidence
  • Mix is the biggest factor in KLA's gross margin quarter-to-quarter.

    60% confidence
  • KLA is not very good at forecasting.

    60% confidence
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Enterprise Software Races to Govern and Consolidate Around Agentic AI
Enterprise software vendors are repositioning around autonomous AI agents. Salesforce is acquiring Braze, ServiceNow is launching agent governance tools (AI Passport, Super Intelligence Control Tower), SAP is pushing its 'Autonomous Enterprise', and Zeta is launching AthenaOS and its own inference model. Palantir is embedding itself in banking, aviation and sovereign AI infrastructure through partnerships with Customers Bank, Surf Air, Ondas and Armada. Governance, data sovereignty and enforced policy are emerging as preconditions for regulated sectors like finance. Investors such as Norwest see room to disrupt ERP and finance software, and they caution that AI should not be trusted with financial calculations. Consolidation and shareholder disputes (Salesforce/Braze, Tiny/Oso Cloud, ZenaTech/Boardwalktech) show the market reshaping.
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EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
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Where sources disagree
Ford Motor Company
Both facts give cash for Ford Motor Company at the same point in time (2025-12-31; FY 2025 year-end and Q4 2025 year-end are the same date). Both are labelled USD, but the values are 23,356,000,000 and 23.356, which cannot both be true in USD. The two numbers agree once the second is read as billions (23.356 bn = 23,356,000,000), so the economic content is consistent and the conflict is a unit/scale error in the Q4 2025 record. The period is not the reason for the conflict: a Q4 and an FY figure at the same year-end date should match.
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